Contrived false positives and negatives could (and should!) always be possible. That doesn't tell us anything about the natural false positive and negative rates, and a lot of people who have actively tried to use voice instruction to get models to consistently fool the detector without iterating against it directly have failed.
I imagine it'd be a lot easier to get a giant datacenter through the queue and connected if said datacenter also generated more than it's own needs with solar and grid scale battery. You'd essentially be asking the grid to act as a backup and sink for spare generation. Avoiding a need for central generation capacity buildout.
> I imagine it'd be a lot easier to get a giant datacenter through the queue and connected if said datacenter also generated more than it's own needs
You'd be wrong. Projects get evaluated FIFO, and each has to do a grid impact study. Data centers are buying other generation projects to get a better position in line. This is all the result of bad
regulation.
That's what was thought, but maybe not -- only one of the three so far looks Epicurean, which is not what was expected. Maybe it's a fluke, but historians are buzzing a bit about whether it might be broader than expected.
Let's take a look, Safety Index - US 50.8, Belgium 50.6. Health care index - Belgium 75.9, US 67.8, Pollution Index - US 36.7, Belgium 49.2, Climate index - Belgium 86, US 78.5.
As it stands US standard of living is better really only in "you can buy a larger house" (shocking, giving the relative size), and "it'll be slightly cheaper".
vacationing/digital nomading in belgium atm, it looks erhm rich. traveling between brussels, leuven, ghent, bruges, soon antwerp... people dress well, never been anywhere with so many german luxury cars on the road, meals cost about the same as US.
I'm sure statistics this and that, but something doesn't translate, sanguine reality is different.
I've worked in the US and now in the Netherlands, and while I earn less in NL it would take a quadruple of what I used to earn in the US to willingly move back there, and even then I'd GTFO as soon as I possibly could. The US is great for getting an absurd amount of money fast, for basically everything else that matters in life I'll take anywhere in the EU over the US.
His little rant about "freedom" ended up aging poorly as most of the countries he lists as being more free have put serious limits on free speech since then. The most Soorkin screed he has written, might as well be John Galt's speech in Atlas Shrugged for how much its just the author inserting his political views.
It is a delusion that US is rich because of capitalism.
It is an insult to the people that founded the country and people that developed science/tech/finance etc. in it. And ofc the space, natural resources and isolation from wars.
Saying US is rich because capitalism is about as accurate as saying it is rich because it is christian
Do you think those natural resources would have been taken advantage of as well in some other system? Same with the geography and isolation.
You are talking about entirely different things. Makes no sense whatsoever. You could make your same argument about any economic system. The natural resources are inputs, not the outcome.
> Do you think those natural resources would have been taken advantage of as well in some other system?
What I mean is those factors can obviously effect a country's success. And can be argued that that do much more easier than arguing about religion or ideology.
Similarly it is easier to argue that proper nutrition, sleep, drug usage etc. can effect an athlete's performance very positively. But you would find it much harder to argue on their religion, place they live, how wealthy were their family etc.
As another example I think it is pretty easy to argue that the Jewish scientists going to US because of Hitler was a massive gain for US and a massive loss for Germany. And there are so many concrete factors like this that, all things considered, ideology seems irrelevant in comparison.
You might say "this is all because US is capitalist in the first place". I want to point out how similar this kind of thinking is to the way some religious people think and how inconsequential it is in real world.
Many of us see the existence of Elon Musk as a bug, not a feature. I am personally more and more converted to the idea that billionaires should not exist.
Err, yes, until the surplus kills off all other competition and allows the supplier to jack prices up sky high, or otherwise bend consumers to their will. There's a reason most countries will stop foreign firms from doing this to them.
In this case, its not competition in the form of foreign company.
Its competition of engineers, scientists, and intellectual labor being atrophied due to overuse of LLM.
Pushing costs at 1/100 for 'thinking' gets intellectual labor people hooked and dependent. Then when costs go 300x, leaves people dumber and less capable of doing things on their own.
LLM companies, by not accurately charging for services, are directly dumping on world-level society and devaluing and addicting people to outsource thinking. Thats the problem.
In reality all subsidized and 'free' services do exactly this. LLM token vendors are making a play against human thought.
Except there's lots of competition for creating that surplus, including from open source locally-hosted LLMs, and while it's behind the frontier it's not that far behind the frontier.
The dumping -> non-competitive price increases playbook is historically very, very rare, and relies on a monopoly (or in a few cases oligopoly) with large externally-enforced barriers to entry. The oligopoly case is highly unstable and doesn't last, and besides we don't have notable barriers to entry; we have both market competitors and locally-hosted imperfect substitute goods.
There's essentially no reason to believe the dynamic you're predicting could succeed here, because we lack all the conditions that make it more likely to succeed, and it's very rare anyway.
You don't know the actual margins -- you only know the API rate. If their API rate has huge margins and the average subscriber isn't coming anywhere close to their limits, the subscription can be very profitable. If they're only near peak capacity in peak working hours (when API traffic is most active) and subscription 5h limits help them redistribute a lot of use outside peak hours when they've got spare capacity, that alone could make a massive difference in profitability.
It'd have been interesting for them to discuss it, but from what I understand it looks like MCAS is probably an entirely separate thing (that can also be triggered by COVID), but because of the overlap in symptoms, many people who assumed they have long COVID actually had MCAS. And even after teasing those two out, there may be more conditions in the long COVID bucket.
I'm sure there are things local models are good enough at in non-coding work, but for anything complex I do not find this to be the case.
I'd say local models are fairly capable of even somewhat complex coding execution. For complex non-coding work (research, in-depth analysis, assembly of complex info-dense documents) I'd rather do it by hand than switch from Opus 4.7 to anything I could even theoretically run locally.
