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Depends. residential fleets v commercial fleets. different behaviours.

Even most residential batts that get plugged in when they get home typically have SOC >40% (depending on jurisidiction).


Agreed. V2G is actually one of the best DER strats out there. The EVs are already purchased, the batteries and PCS are already configured for bidirectional flow in most brands. Coordination/visibility problem remains at Dx level, but actually worth the investment.


Unfortunately most of the EVs already purchased don't have the electronics to support V2G. Newer Leafs and a couple of other brands do, but I think most models in most markets cannot support V2G.


David Roberts does not have an EE degree and misunderstands anything related to power system operations. Great for positive vibes and LCOE parading tho.


You could try using arguments instead of an appeal to authority fallacy?


Good thing he just interviews the technical experts who do. He more or less just gives people in the energy industry a megaphone to discuss the things they are doing.


What does "LCOE" stand for?


Levelized cost of electricity. All the costs that go into producing from a given source (capex and opex) divided by the total power generated.


> All the costs that go into producing from a given source (capex and opex) divided by the total power generated

... total energy generated.


Good catch! One of my own biggest pet peeves too


Perhaps Low Cost Of Electricity?


I'm not asking for guesses thank you (especially if they turn out to be incorrect).


I stand corrected and educated.


Your sibling comment is right. It stands for Levelized Cost Of Electricity.


elaborate


I'm way less skeptical of Roberts than the parent commenter appears to be, but IMO he is more of a policy person than an engineering person. I still find the podcast very useful, with this lens in mind. There are other podcasts that get deeper into the engineering substance, and it's totally ok for different things to have different emphases.


> David Roberts does not have an EE degree

Elon Musk doesn't have an automotive or aeronautical engineering degree. People can understand work they don't have a degree in.

> misunderstands anything related to power system operations

Do you have some examples?


cause they have massive operational issues induced by effectively must-run oversupply that has increased costs for both ratepayers (and sometimes shifted to the taxpayer to hide costs).

And then try to fix those problems with populist TOU rate magic (they won't be fixed), and bills continue to rise!! But hey, LMPs are down LOLOLOLOL


you're gonna have to expain that to me.

so cheaper 'leccy prices are bad? or that this upfront cost to get batteries installed are bad? even though long term costs will be dropping?

I mean whats the cost of 30% of 500k batteries compared to creating a new peaker genny or five?


so in other words, heavily subsidize another technology (introducing cost shifts onto non-adopters, typically poorer people) to try and solve operational problems directly caused by oversubsidizing rooftop solar (another regressive cost-shift and extremely inefficient cost allocation relative to tx-connected solar) by bringing down wholesale prices (already a minority of the utility bill).

Fixed costs, the majority of the utility bill, continue to increase. But hey, LMPs (something residential tarriffs are not as exposed to) are lower!!! LMFAO


Wholesale power is ~37% of the customer bills.

The other costs are the "poles and wires" distribution network and the HV transmission network.

The government is also building out the transmission network to various renewable energy zones, which has the added benefit of making the transmission network more resilient.

With large coal plants, the network was only one interconnector failure from blacking out a state (as happened to South Australia).

Now there is a much better network of interconnected transmission across the entire east and south coast of Australia, covering something like 80% of the population.

The government just bailed out an aluminium smelter that was going to close because of the increased cost of power because it was relying on an old coal plant. Now that will be replaced with renewables.

So we get the benefit of the continued operation of the smelter, as well as the build out of replacement generation for the old coal plants at EOL that will be closed by 2030.


I think you could use more citations.

The South Australia blackout was not caused by coal or renewables or lack of interconnectors. If there had been zero interconnects (the local grid was self-sufficient) it wouldn't have happened! The primary cause of the extended blackout was simply a lack of readiness/contingency planning/compliance particularly at several large windfarms. See wiki article.

Coal is generally cheaper for baseload power like an aluminum smelter, even though solar is cheaper during the day. Firming with wind/battery is not yet competitive but is getting very close and is at the point where building new coal power plants is not viable. Refer to gencost report. However, replacing such a large load with brand new renewable capacity is almost certainly more expensive than simply continuing to burn coal, particularly when factoring in the grid upgrades required to make such a transition.


In Victoria, today, you could get a $10,000 loan, install a battery in your apartment, and switch to a free power or VPP plan costing just $0.30/day after kickbacks, and have it all pay for itself in 5-10 years. The people being left behind are renters, so some incentive there still needed to get landlords on board. Or legalize and subsidize the wallsocket plugin batteries now on the market so renters can make their own investment.


in other words there's no winning because circular arguments about how things "really" work, plus insisting on and worst-possible-case-outcomes-as-inevitabilities.

right ...


agreed. plus all the languages supported!


climate scientists are fantastic at predicting ecological impact. civilizational/economic impacts cannot be made with the same confidence


Yeah, another example is when the Internation Maritime Organization reduced the legal sulfur content limit in shipping fuel.

This reduced SO2 emissions by about 80%, which improved human health, but also caused an increase in short-term atmospheric warming.


in large parts of the west! still good news


no. if you work in the industry you'll know power/electricity are used interchangeably, and energy is treated as the superset. in the physics sense, you're right.


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