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WJW, what a blatant John Deere PR piece.

Even by modern WIRED's low standards of journalism, Boone Ashworth has managed to be subterranean.


Wait until the general public learns about the tech behind most of the currently fielded smoke detectors.

Also, this has long-since been obviated with active acoustic/vibration detection in modern rotor drive-trains.

All that said, every registered civilian and military chopper has high duty-cycle manual inspection of rotor blades too. They use both their Mark I eye-balls and ultrasonic transducers.


Being poor has zero correlation with being “lazy”.

Being poor is highly correlated with having little to no access to financial “leverage” so it’s very difficult to earn any sort of non-linear return on capital.

Additionally, the vast majority of your capital is solely the current market price of your individual labor.


> Being poor has zero correlation with being “lazy”.

This doesn't sound right. If that were literally true, and the level of industriousness didn't affect prosperity at all, why would anyone bother to work?


This is a dishonest take predicated on bucketing everyone who isn't rolling in it from investmet income as "poor"

You won't be "live in an inner ring suburb, shop at whole foods, and peddle ivory tower takes on HN" level rich by working. But with a little care in avoiding big money sinks you can have stable access to basically all the necessities plus some, own your own home and eventually retire. See for example most construction industry professions.


well that and the claustrophobia and the sugars


FWIW, women are equally competitive in ultra-running, so I suspect the claimed advantages only apply at faster paces & longer gaits.


Or it could be that women's ability to metabolise fat outweighs the mechanical advantage at that point.


Do you know off hand what distance a run needs to approach before women and men are equally competitive?


depends on how you define equally, but probably between 100 and 200 miles https://runrepeat.com/state-of-ultra-running


Given that I got my first computer at 12, given all the screen time with video games and programming in my youth + my day-job in software I absolutely guarantee I've clocked more hours on a computer than "with my family". I'm OK with that.

Computers have consolidated work, media, and entertainment all within the same "box" and even a good deal of close friend interactions are now mediated "on the screen".

I'm certain early hunter/gatherers would've been equally as shocked seeing factory workers "leave the home" and "constantly meet strangers".

Different praxis for different eras.


I agree with this take. When I add up all the films and shows I've watched, music I've listened to, books and articles I've read, games I've played, silly projects I've made, and whatnot else, it's hard to come to the conclusion I should have done something completely different for most of that time. I enjoyed myself for quite a lot of that time. I've learned quite a lot.

Sure, I can rot away and do things on the computer that doesn't really bring me joy beyond the Skinner box it can be, but that's at least somewhat on me if I fall into that trap (although we probably don't need to make more Skinner boxes for people to feel trapped by). There's a lot of things I really want to do on the computer, and I don't really see an inherent problem with that.


> Computers have consolidated...

Yes! Thank you for making this distinction. The problem is that some people's perceptions have not kept up, not that screens are inherently bad. Not all screen time is equal, and everyone chooses how to spend it.

This constant purity testing needs to end already. The thinly veiled politics on HN is getting more absurd by the day.


Yeah. I don’t see weather or theft addressed in this design.

I recall a wheel-mounted rotor system from a few years back that did address theft, tire-wear, and weather, but it suffered from far too little torque and very limited battery life.


It looks like their solution is to make it easy enough to install and remove you take it with you. My thought would be security bolts so the pool of thieves is at least limited to people with the right bolt head. Also it has a big battery built in so


Thieves will just take the whole bike.


My bike is $100... If I can take off the $2k electric bike conversion kit and lug it with me, I'd sleep a lot better


That's a problem people already deal with in a lot of ways mostly by being better locked up than other more stealable bikes. Bikes being stealable isn't exactly a knock against this if you can take it off easily either...


Tbh solving this is one of the actual use cases for things like flock cameras.

Simply bolting things down harder is still defeated by a battery powered grinder.


Theft is solved by making society better, not worse. Make people not want or reliant upon crime to survive.


No one relies on bike theft to "survive".


No one goes around stealing bikes just because they want to do bad things.


"Let's go get sushi and not pay." -- Repo Man, 1984.

That's into the absurdist territory, but it reflects the real pattern of behavior. People do go around committing petty crimes for various reasons.


And you presume that type of criminality would remain about the same regardless of how society is organized or what type of culture is reinforced?

I think there are many other and better things to try than the repeated failure of trying to catch and punish crimes even more harshly.


There is a large amount of people who go around stealing bikes for fun and some cash; and often "street cred" or something akin to that.


Then maybe society should be improved upon so that a few dollars or a few minutes of "fun" or "street cred" isn't seen as such a boon to their life that people risk jail time for it.

The US tried "tough on crime" approaches, what has it resulted in? 25% of the entire world's prison population and it still has higher crime rates than its peer nations.


Nobody goes to jail for stealing bikes. Here, the cops will take a report but that's it. It doesn't get investigated. There's a very good chance any homeless person with a bike is in posession of a stolen bike but they don't even fish in that barrel.


Good plan; instead of a decent bike lock, and asking for some (read: ANY) enforcement & punishment of bike theft I'll just "improve society".


nobody steals bikes to buy milk for their baby either.


My brother in Christ.


What are you basing that on?


That's right, people steal bikes because they are inherently evil and want to make baby Jesus cry.

I think it's ok to define "survive" as an addict who needs (<-also loosely defined) a fix.

You don't generally commit serious white collar crime, tax fraud or do crypto grifts to survive. For petty street crime, I don't really see any other motivation.


There are a lot of teenagers stealing bikes and other stuff for fun. It's common, and in many circles very "cool". Doesn't have to be inherent, really.


People will steal bike, go where they need to go and just abandon it lmfao


> Theft is solved by making society better, not worse.

Phew, good to hear. Here I thought it would be a hard and complex problem, with lots of unknown unknowns, difficult political compromises, a generation-spanning efforts and many potential solutions with uncertain outcomes, partially contradicting each other.

Instead, we just have to make society better. So, what's step 1?


Step 1 could be not turning the world into a an Orwellian nightmare and outlawing mass surveillance, from both government and private corporations.

And if you are still worried about theft in the mean time, you could try looking at wage thefts which has a value greater than all other forms of theft combined.


> Step 1 could be not turning the world into a an Orwellian nightmare and outlawing mass surveillance, from both government and private corporations.

That would make society better, I agree, but I don't see how that would lead to a reduction in theft, or crime in general.

> And if you are still worried about theft in the mean time, you could try looking at wage thefts […]

I'm not worried about wage theft, no. I am worried about theft of my personal property, though. And I notice that you haven't proposed any credible path to reducing it, beyond an incredibly generic "make society better", whatever that means and however you want to achieve that.


"reliant upon crime to survive"

Do we have any sources that people are stealing to survive? What definition of surviving are we using here?


Repeat after me "Criminals are not Alladin"


It's actually solved by putting thieves in prison (by the help of flock cameras).


Is it though? Does prison work as a deterrence to others?


There's usually a fairly small number of criminals in the population and they have short careers. Otherwise, the whole enterprise of society wouldn't be viable.

So once you take them off the streets for a couple of years, or decades for the more hardened ones, it's fine. It has an added benefit of breaking criminal networks so the future adepts have no place to fence the stolen goods.


On one hand, you’re breaking existing networks; on the other hand you are establishing a social club for new ones.


That person is insanely naive - either very young, or very lacking in life experience and worldly knowledge.


"It has an added benefit of breaking criminal networks so the future adepts have no place to fence the stolen goods" is probably the most naive thing I've ever heard.

I also think you have no idea how much it costs per prisoner per year.

I also think you have no idea how much harder it is for someone to get a job, housing, a partner, etc after they have a conviction. Or how much whatever life they had falls apart, which includes partners, friends, family. And guess what happens when you strip away all of someone's social connections? They lose that safety net, and are now dependent upon whatever society as whole provides. And in the US we have people saying "pull yourself up by your bootstraps" non-ironically, not realizing the whole fucking point of that phrase is that recovering from poverty in the US is extremely difficult.

That money is better spent on helping people who are not able to afford basic necessities, because that is why a lot of people commit property crime.

I suggest you actually open up some studies on this subject because you clearly have no idea what you're talking about. Or just open up a chart reflecting the economy over the decades and compare it with property crime rates.

The US has the highest incarceration rate in the world by both headcount and percentage of the population. How's that working for us? We have one of the higher property and violent crime rates among developed nations. Far higher than nations where criminals are imprisoned for rehabilitation, not to punish. Things like giving them a cell that looks like a bedroom, not pen in an animal shelter.


>That money is better spent on helping people who are not able to afford basic necessities, because that is why a lot of people commit property crime.

Do you have anything to back this up? You think people are stealing because they lack basic necessities? How are you defining this?


Do you have any kind of education in this area? Because that doesn’t sound like the little that I’ve read about sociology and psychology.


It's pretty well established for violent crime, at least: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3969807/

The recidivism rate for property crime is higher than violent crime, so it seems plausible that the same is true for theft: https://counciloncj.org/recidivism_report/


The idea is that it lowers the number of thieves.


Prisons are full. We have one of the highest incarceration rates in the world. No cops, prosecutors, or judges are interested in putting a bike thief in prison. We've just decided it's an acceptable cost in our society. It's another reason that cycling is not a useable mode of transport in many places: if you don't have a secure/indoor place to put your bike at work or while shopping, it will get stolen. So you either ride bikes that you can afford to lose, which sucks if you have to go any real distance, or you drive.


Where I live that’s a win win for thieves. Earn money stealing a bike, have a roof over your head and free food.


Police here don’t even care to help if your car is stolen and you have GPS on it. Cameras and jail do nothing to help protect your property if the police refuse to work.


"here"? We don't know where you are.

In the UK police will ask the value of the property stolen and use that to decide whether to do anything. Low-value is under a few £k.


Toronto or NYC same story


Aside from the fact that there's little to no actual evidence (not funded by flock cherry-picking, and doing a lot of extremely thin correlation/causation nonsense...

No, it's actually solved by providing social safety net programs and managing the economy to have entry level accessible jobs that pay a living wage. People steal because they run out of other options. The cost of flock contracts would be far better spent on food pantries, job counseling, emergency housing...

There is nearly zero correlation between the number of police and the amount of crime.


Cameras don't solve crimes, Flock or otherwise, unless the cops consider the crime serious. It is almost universal that cops don't consider bike theft serious. This is beginning to change in a few cities but not most.


From what I can tell, they are mostly fully occupied with dealing with emergency situations and domestic violence calls. There isn’t the resources allocated to searching for bikes. Especially when there often isn’t much to go off.

Making the search process easier makes locating stolen stuff becomes more of an office job that’s cheaper to do so the math works out better.


They could solve hundreds of stolen bike reports by just visiting the homeless encampments and running the serial numbers of every bike there. They arent interested, or think the optics are bad.


But Google's AI told me that Flock cameras are full of gold, so I steal those instead of bikes!

https://www.techspot.com/news/113381-google-ai-told-people-f...

AngryData> No one goes around stealing bikes just because they want to do bad things.

But people go around stealing Flock cameras because they want to do good things.


You don’t gotta be impossible to steal from, you just gotta be more annoying to steal from than the next guy.


They will still steal your seat, lights, wheel, and any other bit they can get.

Sure you can use all number of locks, security bolts, and stripping the bike down yourself every time you leave it, but it’s sucks. You’d rather public spaces just be safe.


Just follow the old Eve online adage - don't fly what you can't afford to lose.

If there's lot of theft and you can't store bike at a secure place - have a cheap bike.


Yes that's the compromise we have had to live with. But some countries like Singapore and China are showing it is actually possible to just solve theft so you don't have to deal with your bike being stolen.


There are places in the US like this as well, but are general smaller / tight knit. I don't know of any high trust dense urban areas.


In Eve online they shoot intruders that come in your corp space to mess things up... and it does make space a lot safer.

not sure the game you want to go with examples


No idea, only played in low sec. There you shoot everyone. So it's kinda "safe" - no surprises, you expect everyone to try to kill you. Maybe except your own militia, and that's not always.

But the rule is good. Can't say I always adhere to it, but used to loose a lot of stuff , and thanks to the rule, many wasn't that expensive.


Well said by somebody who's very obviously never used a bicycle as their primary mode of transportation ;)


I learned this. I had what I thought was a pretty good lock, but the chain was cut very clean. The cut was almost perfect flat, so I assume they used a power tool.


UK has ton of cameras, still plenty of thieving. You're solving wrong problem by solution that WILL be used against you the second govt takes wrong(er) turn


Can't use with mud guards


These sorts of seat mounted mud guards would work: https://ass-savers.com/ (yes, the URL is funny and seems a risky click)


And WTF is it about mud guards now?

When i was young all bicycles came with mud guard (then called "fenders") front and rear. Now they seem to be anathema.

Every bike I rode w/o fenders put a stripe of mud up my back!


I just got a new bike for my son (he's going to secondary school and needs a better bike), and was surprised to see how many kids' bikes came without fenders. What's up with that? Who wants a serious bike without fenders?

Of course most bikes still come with fenders, but that's also a major limitation for this device: you've got to remove your rear fender. Maybe this device acts somewhat as a fender, but the site says you can't use it in heavy rain, exactly when you need that fender the most.


Being cynical I would say it is yet another way to upsell.

Here in Germany if you want to get a cheaper bicycle, other than flea markets, usually they make you mount the pedals yourself, doesn't have fenders, lights might also be missing, depending on the offer.


Oddly in the UK pedals are a legally required to be included with any new bike sold. Well, technically it's pedal reflectors that are required, but they obviously need pedals to mount to.


Are you looking at performance road bikes? Fenders and lights are removed for weight savings, and for pedals there are multiple clip-in systems, you are supposed to install the pedals that match your chosen system.

If, however, they are doing that for commuter bikes...


Regular city bikes.

This is the approach if you go offers on regular supermarkets that also sell bicycles.

Personally I am never going to give more than 400 euros tops, for a new bicycle, it is either that or not much beyond 100 euros at a flea market.

Getting the bicycle stolen or worse, revenge damage when they fail to steal it, is not worth more than that.


I guess that’s the reason you don’t understand why bikes are sold without these things. €400 gets you a very, very, very low-end new bike, like just one step above “unsafe to ride”.

You often don’t get pedals on new bikes because you have your favorite pedals that work for you and anything that’s included with the bike goes straight to the bin, because it’s useless trash. You don’t get fenders, because you don’t usually use those on any kind of sporty bike. They’re heavy, they don’t usually work that well, they are often hard to use in bikes with suspension with longer travel or and they can rattle or simply break and fall off if you ride hard. You don’t get lights and reflective elements, because they’re heavy plastic crap that breaks and falls off. If you often ride at night, you probably own some kind of night gear, high powered LEDs, reflective stickers or spokes…

And obviously once that is the norm for “bikes” in general, then why not save a few cents on supermarket bikes.


> €400 gets you a very, very, very low-end new bike, like just one step above “unsafe to ride”

I don’t agree. After my last bike was stolen I decided to buy the cheapest Decathlon had to offer - 240 - for getting around town and there’s nothing unsafe about it. It’s heavy and has cheap components but everything works fine for light city cycling.


You’re probably right, I’d trust a cheap Decathlon bike not to be unsafe. But they’re really exceptional in this regard, most non-Decathlon gear at cheapest-Decathlon prices is trash.


I don't need to be educated on the increasing lack of customer service for anything below 2000 euros, having got my first bicycle in 1984, upgraded to a cycling one in 1986, had plenty of others since then.

And from all places I lived in Europe, only around here this upselling seems to be a thing.


I think it’s just “cheap bikes”. Nobody wants to work on or with cheap bikes. And bikes are getting more and more expensive (quite fast). A solid bike built with brand name components is quickly approaching 2000€.


400 € might be a month salary for many people in the south after taxes when earning minimum wage, hardly cheap.

Not everyone needs Apple priced bicycles, that get as easily stolen as a 50 € from the flea market.


“Cheap” meaning low-end, not actually cheap for people to buy with their salaries. Bikes are, unfortunately, surprisingly expensive nowadays, and the market isn’t doing great.


This. A quality city bike built to order by Azor or Achielle can easily cost 1300 to 2500 EUR. Non-electric.


I wonder how good the lock has to be, or the break cables and wire frames cutter resistant, for it to be worthy of leaving alone while shopping on the city centre.


Just a regular hardened 8 mm chain with a ring lock mounted on the frame.


If you go to work by bike, a fever is fundamental to prevent a simple puddle of water to ruin your clothes


Millions and millions of people live in places where theft isn't a concern.


I live in the city considered to be one of the best to live in Europe. Bike theft is absolutely an issue here. I'm afraid to imagine what happens in other countries.


Hundreds of millions of people do not live in cities.


Oh this guy again. This guy is a total douche. Not related, he previously tweeting being "inspired by" Martin Shkreli and writing letters to him in prison.

Something, something the company you keep.


This guy being Sebastian Mandal, the creator of the corgigirls website and who is unrelated to the company Corgi?


There’s nothing quite like a poor analogy to trigger HN.


WJW. This entire article is assuming there’s a single measure of “success” in this endeavor and the simulation isn’t remotely anything like mowing an actual lawn.

I’m usually a huge fan of Pudding, but this completely misses the mark.


AI, atm, is a perfect distillation of financial platitudes from ~10 years ago.

FWIW, bonds are no longer a hedge against equity unless they’re based against private equity and private equity is both more expensive and more performant than ever.


Yes, the preference for bonds seems deeply ingrained. Have you found a way to steer LLMs away from old school allocation (bonds, gold, cash)?


That's because you get (particularly initially) quite some reduction of risk with little loss of expected return. Diversification (incl. across asset classes) is the only free lunch in finance.

If you want to argue that bonds and stocks have become more correlated, sure, but we do not know what hits us next.


I have not. I've also noticed that despite changes in regulation in the U.S., a whole variety of P.E. strategies are completely ignored by LLMs.


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