A variant of the Great Filter :)

Thanks for sharing. Remarkable story. Can't help but wonder how many more lives would've been saved if they had not been warned of going down.

I worry that AI will find a way to control some country's nukes and use them to achieve some arbitrary goal it was instructed to reach.

This also seems likely. One problem I see with the idea of AI alignment is that it seems like many different actors will be able to get access to their own nearly-frontier models in a few years, so increased understanding of AI alignment will just mean aligning the AI to the wants of these various actors. These actors might be rogue states or terrorist groups.

If you don’t understand how the sausage was made, do you even know if it's sausage?

He's the manager - that's like corporate root privileges

Manager has rights to approve themselves... Access control working as designed.

At worst, needs another manager to approve. Now they can both saddle up on the velocity/time to market wave... together. The racket begins in earnest.

How does a manager do this, they ask? I answer: the same way they do everything. Lunch. If the effort fails, at least they tried! Deck chairs, Titanic, etc.

His AI experience is $10 of DeepSeek - but I think he is right anyway in the main points.

You can most definitely ship crap much faster than you used to. It's obvious to anyone when you're shipping crap. And it seems everywhere I look people are shipping crap. Both software and writing.

The hardest part of shipping quality software is not and has never been "writing the code". The hard parts are product taste, architecture and ensuring your product actually solves the problems it should in an efficient and secure manner.

If you don't have an intuition of those, you will likely still be shipping crap. Just faster.

Yep, using AI to remove your thinking process and judgement, and just let it generate stuff as fast as possible, will definitely make you ship crap faster! If you did the same thing with a junior developer you would get the same result.

Where AI shines for me is accelerating the learning and exploration process. I can get up to speed with new tech fast. It is good at spotting issues in designs and code. It can knock out quick tests or benchmarks to support me. The quality of what I can produce with AI support is much higher than I could without it.

So it really just depends on what you use it for. If the goal is "replace humans and ship fast" that's one thing. If the goal is "explore the problem space in greater depth", it's another.

Maybe it’s not needed. But why not just use React anyway?

What’s wrong with the existing bank notes? I like their design

I agree. Software engineering as we know it is dead. Wonder what it'll evolve into.